Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.421961 3.629564 3.850225 4.103443 4.387538 4.698286 5.066459
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.096139 3.365600 3.665112 4.026370 4.455422 4.955579 5.593465
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.831779 3.134994 3.483641 3.920963 4.465169 5.135270 6.049237
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.635369 2.963012 3.350869 3.854535 4.508709 5.357562 6.596616
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.478946 2.824964 3.245233 3.808427 4.569863 5.609776 7.237754
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.389772 2.761478 3.225226 3.868007 4.776565 6.093105 8.339476
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.228557 2.596170 3.062124 3.721222 4.678873 6.120439 8.728634
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.150603 2.532103 3.025868 3.743671 4.827046 6.549185 9.954151
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.072906 2.463085 2.977352 3.743362 4.940399 6.944527 11.282459
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.969323 2.353739 2.866375 3.642193 4.883066 7.036431 12.017653
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.869461 2.244475 2.749124 3.522417 4.782328 7.033573 12.545488
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.832364 2.218388 2.746707 3.575561 4.975080 7.626037 14.953784
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.801091 2.206180 2.774007 3.695717 5.337455 8.748335 20.481171
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.723895 2.125483 2.696053 3.640594 5.377408 9.202307 24.633756
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.646503 2.040680 2.606821 3.559131 5.357204 9.522021 29.161662
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.583159 1.972985 2.539336 3.508485 5.392208 10.014120 36.758128
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.528697 1.915509 2.483944 3.473653 5.455814 10.631370 49.672396
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.498424 1.891850 2.479340 3.527775 5.721676 12.031573 96.028116
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.432462 1.812265 2.381878 3.405312 5.573366 11.988507 119.489695
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.401211 1.783208 2.363371 3.426634 5.763179 13.317056 447.067425
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.368128 1.749807 2.335726 3.428071 5.907750 14.624298 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.320540 1.692425 2.265851 3.342593 5.820907 14.864177 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.272644 1.632984 2.190042 3.240419 5.677759 14.773161 NaN